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CHESS ANALYTICS 00.2: Methods, Part 3: How to Read the Output Files

13 Saturday Jun 2026

Posted by Ripsu-sama in chess, chess analytics

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Tags

chess, chess analytics, chess history, engine analysis, expected score, performance metrics, Stockfish, WDL evaluation, world championship

  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00.1: Methods, Parts 1 & 2: Measuring World-Championship Roads with Stockfish 18 WDL
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00.0: List of Other Chess Analytics Articles
  1. From Numbers to Interpretation
  2. 1. The Main File Categories
  3. 2. First Rule: Know Whether the Number Is a Mean or a Sum
  4. 3. Second Rule: Separate Faced Difficulty from Caused Difficulty
  5. 4. Third Rule: Higher Does Not Always Mean Better
  6. 5. Fourth Rule: Raw CCP-v2 and Log CCP-v2 Are Different
  7. 6. Reading article_report.md
  8. 7. Reading all_metrics_3source.csv
  9. 8. Reading metric_ratios.csv
  10. 9. Reading player_summary.csv
  11. 10. Reading game_summary_readable.csv
  12. 11. Reading critical_moves.csv
  13. 12. Reading volatility_swings.csv
  14. 13. Reading hardest_positions.csv
  15. 14. Reading difficulty_critical_moves.csv
  16. 15. Reading ccp_hardest_positions.csv
  17. 16. Reading ccp_v2_log_hardest_positions.csv
  18. 17. Reading ccp_v2_log_critical_moves.csv
  19. 18. Reading ccp_v2_root_branch_summary.csv
  20. 19. Reading ccp_v2_root_branch_ply_summary.csv
  21. 20. Reading ccp_v2_root_branch_top_moves.csv
  22. 21. Reading ccp_v2_root_branch_payoff_moves.csv
  23. 22. Reading ccp_v2_root_branch_workload_rows.csv
  24. 23. Difficulty Share
  25. 24. Difficulty Pressure Quality, DPQ
  26. 25. Pressure Yield
  27. 26. Combining the Metrics: Common Interpretation Patterns
  28. 27. Style Profiles the Files Can Reveal
  29. 28. How to Compare Two Matches
  30. 29. A Simple Expert Reading Formula
  31. 30. Final Reading Checklist
  32. 31. The Main Lesson

From Numbers to Interpretation

The first methods article explained the WDL foundation: expected score, expected-score loss, WDL Accuracy, and the main performance metri.

The second methods article introduced the post-WDL difficulty layer: all-legal difficulty, CCP Search Difficulty, CCP-v2 recursive forcing burden, probe/confirm search, root-branch diagnostics, Difficulty Pressure Quality, and Pressure Yield.

This third part explains how to read the actual output files.

Continue reading →

CHESS ANALYTICS 03: Karpov vs. Kasparov 1984/85 match

28 Thursday May 2026

Posted by Ripsu-sama in chess, chess analytics

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Tags

chess, chess analytics, chess history, engine analysis, expected score, Karpov, Kasparov, Stockfish, WDL evaluation, world championship

  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00: Methods: Measuring World-Championship Roads with Stockfish 18 WDL
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00.0: List of Other Chess Analytics Articles
  1. 1. Short verdict
  2. 2. Overall metric table
  3. 3. Accuracy, PQ, and dominance
  4. 4. Loss metrics: Karpov slightly cleaner
  5. 5. Standard deviations and stability
  6. 6. Game Accuracy and Mutual Accuracy
  7. 7. Game-by-game metric edge
  8. 8. Phase-by-phase interpretation
    1. Games 1–9: Karpov builds the match
    2. Games 1–27: Karpov’s lead phase
    3. Games 28–48: Kasparov takes over
    4. Games 47–48: the collapse/reversal endpoint
  9. 9. Correlations with game score
  10. 10. Which metric families explain the 25–23 result?
    1. 1. Conversion explains most of the final margin
    2. 2. Expected Score and Dominance explain the underlying edge
    3. 3. Volatility explains Karpov’s stable advantage
    4. 4. RMS ES Loss is more favorable than raw accuracy counts
    5. 5. Error Concentration is almost irrelevant here
  11. 11. Chess interpretation
  12. 12. Final article-style thesis
Continue reading →

CHESS ANALYTICS 00.0: List of Other Chess Analytics Articles & Download link

27 Wednesday May 2026

Posted by Ripsu-sama in chess, chess analytics

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Tags

chess, chess analytics, chess history, engine analysis, expected score, performance analysis, performance metrics, Stockfish, WDL evaluation, world championship

  • GitHub download page for the analysis-programs used
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00.1: Methods, Parts 1 & 2: Measuring World-Championship Roads with Stockfish 18 WDL
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 00.2: Methods, Part 3: How to Read the Output Files
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 01: Fischer 1971-72 compared with Karpov 1974
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 02: Karpov vs. Korchnoi 1978 + 1981
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 03: Karpov vs. Kasparov 1984/85 match
  • CHESS ANALYTICS 04: Kasparov vs. Karpov matches of 1985, 1986, 1987, 1990, plus comparison from 1970s to 1990s

    more to come

    CHESS ANALYTICS 00.1: Methods, Parts 1 & 2: Measuring World-Championship Roads with Stockfish 18 WDL

    25 Monday May 2026

    Posted by Ripsu-sama in chess, chess analytics

    ≈ Leave a comment

    Tags

    chess, chess analytics, chess history, engine analysis, expected score, performance metrics, Stockfish 18, WDL evaluation, world championship

    1. CHESS ANALYTICS 00.2: Methods, Part 3: How to Read the Output Files
    2. CHESS ANALYTICS 00.0: List of Other Chess Analytics Articles
    1. 1. The Basic Units of the Analysis
    2. 2. Expected Score
    3. 3. Expected-Score Loss
    4. 4. WDL Accuracy
    5. 5. Game Accuracy
    6. 6. Mutual Accuracy
    7. 7. Performance Quality
    8. 8. Dominance
    9. 9. Volatility
    10. 10. RMS Expected-Score Loss
    11. 11. Error Concentration
    12. 12. Score, Expected Score, and Conversion
    13. 13. HardRAP and SoftRAP
    14. 14. How the Metrics Form One Whole
    15. 15. Why WDL Is Preferable Here to Pawn Evaluation
    16. 16. Why This Series Is Worth Doing

    2026-06-12, added Part 2:

    1. CHESS ANALYTICS 00.1: Methods, Part 2 — Post-WDL Difficulty Metrics
    2. 1. WDL Metrics: Measuring Lost Scoring Chances
    3. 2. All-Legal Difficulty: How Narrow Was the Position?
    4. 3. Difficulty-Weighted Accuracy: Accuracy Under Pressure
    5. 4. CCP Difficulty: Checks, Captures, and Promotions
    6. 5. CCP-v2: Recursive Forcing-Line Search Difficulty
    7. 6. CCP-v2 Vision: Looking for Quiet Ideas Before Forcing Lines
    8. 7. CCP-v2 Two-Stage Probe/Confirm: Search Cheaply, Then Confirm Seriously
    9. 8. CCP-v2 Root-Branch Diagnostics: What Did the Search Actually Prefer?
    10. 9. CCP-v2 Log-Critical Moves: Where Difficulty Meets Damage
    11. 10. What the Post-WDL Metrics Add
    12. 11. Short Chronological Summary of Analyzer v3.6.1
    13. 12. Practical Reading Guide

    This article series studies World-Championship matches and World-Championship qualification runs with a modern engine-based method.

    The basic idea is simple:

    Put every move of great historical matches under Stockfish 18, translate each position into win/draw/loss chances, and then ask: who preserved winning chances better, who lost chances more often, who created volatility, who converted chances into points, and who stayed more consistent?

    Stockfish 18 is far stronger than any human player. Its strength is so far above human World Champions that comparing it to humans by normal Elo becomes difficult. This makes it useful as a reference point: not because it “understands chess like a human,” but because it gives a very strong, consistent measuring stick.

    The purpose is not to reduce chess greatness to one number. The purpose is to create a performance profile:

    Continue reading →

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